Trump Second-Term Approval — Methodology-Diverse Average
A methodologically diverse, hand-curated average — 12 pollsters spanning live-caller phone, probability panels, non-probability opt-in panels, and mixed-mode phone/text/online, with both party-ID-weighted and demographics-only weighting schemes deliberately mixed in. Each pollster gets equal weight regardless of polling frequency (30-day trailing window, two-stage average). No pollster-quality or house-effect weighting.
Overall approval
Approve vs. disapprove, equal-weighted across all 12 pollsters, 30-day trailing window.
Overall generic congressional ballot
Democratic margin (Dem % − Rep %), among pollsters & waves that asked the question. Positive = Democratic lead.
Approval — by sampling methodology
Net approval (approve − disapprove), each group independently re-averaged with equal weight per pollster within the group. Click a legend entry to isolate a series.
Approval — by weighting approach
Net approval for pollsters that weight on party ID / recalled vote vs. those that weight demographics only.
Generic ballot margin — by sampling methodology
Democratic margin (Dem % − Rep %) on the generic ballot, by sample-recruitment group.
Generic ballot margin — by weighting approach
Democratic margin on the generic ballot, party-ID-weighted vs. demographics-only pollsters.